Sunday, February 18, 2018

The Herd Immunity Paradox


Herd immunity is an extremely important concept. The basis for herd immunity is all around us, with more than 91.9% of children receiving the MMR vaccination. The CDC reports, “Before the measles vaccination program started in 1963, an estimated 3 to 4 million people got measles each year in the United States… Since then, widespread use of measles vaccine has led to a greater than 99% reduction in measles cases compared with the pre-vaccine era” (Measles 2016). Even though just over 90% of the population received the MMR vaccine at a very young age, measles is all but eradicated in the United States. However, the question stands: Should we really be teaching herd immunity to the public?
A superficial study would reveal that yes, herd immunity is at work and is very important to the health of the public. However, a deeper look reveals something quite different. The idea of herd immunity relies on the public being educated enough to draw the correct conclusions. Those who fail to draw these conclusions, however, tend to take the “Well if everyone else’s children are vaccinated then I don’t need to vaccinate my children” idea and run with it. The problem is not that the concept of herd immunity is wrong, it is that a lot of people in the public are wrong.
“The unvaccinated person is protected by the bodies around her, bodies through which disease is not circulating. But a vaccinated person surrounded by bodies that host disease is left vulnerable to vaccine failure or fading immunity” (Biss 2015). When phrased like this, it appears as though vaccinated people get the short end of the stick. Not only are they charged with protecting those not educated enough to protect themselves, but they are also putting themselves in danger if their immunization fails them. The paradox comes into play when their immunization does fail them, and they then spread the disease to those who were not vaccinated against it, who in turn spread it to others whose immunity has already been weakened.
The idea of Generalized herd effects also plays a role in this issue. Generalized herd effects are “vaccine-derived effects that alter the epidemiology of non-vaccine-targeted pathogens across the population at large, including those who did not vaccinate” (Mina 2017). For instance, if a portion of the population is vaccinated for a disease that does not display the benefits of herd immunity, such as influenza, the effects of the vaccine on post-influenza conditions (severe bacterial infections are very common among post-flu individuals) will spread to the unvaccinated populations, as they are the ones who most often contract the flu. This shows that herd immunity is not a fail-safe for all diseases, and that an increased immunity among a part of the population may cause more harm to the unvaccinated than good.
So, if teaching herd immunity to the masses is failing, then how can we educate those who still can not understand? As Biss suggests in On Immunity, perhaps teaching “hive immunity” is the way to go. Hive immunity states that “The health of any individual bee…depends on the health of the hive…The cooperative work of the bees…is an example of the kind of collective problem solving our own society depends on,” (Biss 2015). Teaching hive immunity may solve the problem of those in the herd who fail to recognize the validity of vaccinations.

Biss, Eula. On Immunity: an Innoculation. Fitzcarraldo, 2015.

“Measles (Rubeola).” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 22 Nov. 2016, www.cdc.gov/measles/vaccination.html.

Mina, Michael J. “Generalized herd effects and vaccine evaluation: impact of live influenza vaccine on off-Target bacterial colonisation.” Journal of Infection, vol. 74, 23 June 2017, p. S104., doi:10.1016/s0163-4453(17)30199-8.

8 comments:

  1. Interesting! Herd immunity is an interesting idea in theory, but does somewhat fall apart in practice. At the crux of the matter, people are selfish and don't like to do anything they feel is an inconvenience, even if it could quite literally save someone else's (or a lot of someone elses') life. The connotations of "hive immunity" inverts that selfishness and inspires people to see the matter in a different light. Good work.

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  2. I also found myself interested in the concept of herd immunity and ultimately did write about it. While the idea sounds good on paper, I do agree that there are some shortcomings in practice. You brought up some really good points that I hadn’t focused on in my previous study of herd immunity. It’s definitely important that the population at large understands that they are responsible for their own health and that their actions can have an effect on the entire community.

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  3. I like the difference in terms between herd immunity and hive immunity. I think the distinction between the two is very important and if the term could be changed in the public vernacular it would greatly increase the chances of people choosing to vaccinate their children. I think it would increase the amount of responsibility people feel to vaccinate their kids.

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  4. Wow what an amazing analysis of the concept. This is the exact kind of change in narrative that I'd like to come up in my own essay, but didn't know enough to do so.

    Since the concept of Herd Immunity is being communicated right now, is there any way you think is possible to teach a whole new concept to a population ingrained with the previous concept?

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    1. I really am not sure if it is possible to change a narrative that has been taught for years without a fundamental insertion, like teaching it to schoolchildren now, so that in twenty years, they will be able to understand the distinction for themselves. However, for people who don't vaccinate, I am not sure if changing between herd immunity and hive immunity will make a difference, but I would hope that by the time hive immunity becomes reality, then peer pressure to get their children vaccinated will have already set in.

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  5. Even if everyone is scientifically educated enough, the dilemma remains. They could be in the 91.9% that takes the risks of the vaccine's side effect, or they could be in the rest 8.1% and still do not, while the disease is eliminated nonetheless.
    It's a classic game theory, where everyone would be in the Nash equilibrium stance, and choose not to vaccinate. So the disease remains.(Not taken into account the time it'll take to get everyone vaccinated)

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  6. I would argue that herd immunity itself isn’t the problem, but the reasoning we teach for participating. When the flu Biss wrote about was spreading, I remember that I hated needles (I had a rather long and unpleasant history with them from from medical work when I was younger), but went along with getting the vaccine (My parents didn’t really give me a choice on the matter, but I chose not to really fight it too hard) because two very close friends of mine at the time had severe allergies to eggs and so, even if they wanted to, couldn’t safely receive the vaccination. While hive immunity may be a better description, I would argue the way we teach the concept should change to drive home that we aren’t choosing between protecting just ourselves, a frequent argument cited against vaccination, and protecting ourselves and the people who choose to vaccinate, but should instead focus on the fact that many people don’t have the choice to protect themselves (While egg allergies have largely been addressed since, there are still many vulnerable populations including children and the elderly) and emphasize our duty to other people.
    As others have mentioned, the fear of potential complications tends to push a number of people away from vaccinating, so I would argue we should instead focus instead on providing defense to those vulnerable by circumstance rather than choice. I don’t do it just to protect myself; I even got the flu just this past weekend after having gotten my shot. Instead I get the shot because I interact with so many people every week that by getting it I’m making somebody a little safer.

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  7. As with most things surrounding vaccination, the issue is one of education. I like how you make this distinction, the language we use around herd immunity can lure parents into a false sense of security. We need to thoroughly educate people on these issues if we wish for things to change.

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